Zhong Nanshan, Zhang Wenhong, double alarm bells


Novel coronavirus pneumonia cases are diagnosed in the world as of 10 hours in Central Europe at 17 hours in Beijing, March 27th, according to the latest data from the World Health Organization. 509164 cases of new crown pneumonia were diagnosed globally. This is the 400 thousand novel coronavirus pneumonia case reported by the World Health Organization in March 25th, only 2 days ago.
China has China’s novel coronavirus pneumonia cases. The world has more than 10 thousand confirmed cases in China, including the United States, Italy, Spain, Germany, Iran, France, Britain and Switzerland (Liechtenstein). Among them, the United States and Italy have more than 80 thousand confirmed cases, and the United States has surpassed China and Italy to become the world’s most new cases of new crown pneumonia cases.
At the China EU anti epidemic Video Conference on March 25, academician Zhong Nanshan said: in the context of the global epidemic, in order to prevent the second wave of peak, we should still maintain the existing prevention and control measures, and at the same time, strictly prevent the input of external prevention.
The reporter contacted Professor Zhang Wenhong, director of the infection department of Huashan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University. On March 27, Professor Zhang Wenhong responded: “keep alert, the prevention and control measures are important, but the direction is different from the first stage.”
Zhong Nanshan’s latest judgment on the epidemic situation
It is estimated that there will be no second wave of epidemic peak in China
Zhong Nanshan said that the peak of the second wave would not appear in China, because it is difficult to have another big outbreak under the group prevention and control measures, provided that we should actively prevent and control and keep vigilance. According to the mechanism of group prevention and control, now the focus of prevention and control has reached hundreds of foreign importers, especially from the “first wave of epidemic countries”, which is highly infectious, so it is very right to actively diagnose and isolate.
The epicenter of the epidemic may have moved to the United States
How to control the novel coronavirus pneumonia quickly, Zhong Nan Shan said that there are two strategies to control the epidemic, one is suppression, the other is delay. China has chosen a strategy of repression to control the epidemic in the short term. As you can see, the number of patients is still increasing during the two weeks, but it has reached a peak within two weeks, and it will return to the original situation after two weeks. Chinese communities also have strong group prevention and control measures, specifically, four “early discoveries”, early reports, early isolation and early treatment, which play a very important role.
Zhong Nanshan said that some countries have taken corresponding measures after learning about the situation. Now, the number of infected people in Italy and Germany has declined, but other regions are still growing, especially in the United States. Novel coronavirus pneumonia is now more than China, reaching over 8.2 000 cases in the United States. It’s possible that the epicenter has moved to the United States.
If the global response is positive, it is expected to be effective in April
For the current “closure” measures in some foreign areas, Zhong Nanshan responded that “closure” does not mean solving the problem. After closure, there should also be good personal protection in the city, and everyone should follow the protection principle. If measures can be strictly implemented, cases in Europe will be expected to peak in the next week, and the global epidemic in April is expected to achieve results.
Zhang Wenhong’s latest judgment on the epidemic situation
Current main anti input risks
Normal life can be gradually restored
Will China’s domestic epidemic be affected by the global epidemic and repeated? In an interview with reporters, Zhang Wenhong pointed out that whether the epidemic will recur depends on three reasons:
First, it depends on whether there will be a relapse of pneumonia in discharged patients or even a change to chronic poisoning in the country and region,
Second, are there any asymptomatic patients not found in our population,
Third, overseas import risks.
At present, how should Shanghai and even the whole country face the development of the epidemic?
Zhang Wenhong said in response that we want to keep the first stage of China’s epidemic prevention and control of the fruits of victory, but at this time we must also do a good job is to prevent imported cases. Cities without local cases for more than two weeks in a row mean that they are safe. It is also necessary for us to start normal life and work at this stage, which is also the return of taking very strict control measures at the early stage. In such a relatively safe environment, we can gradually carry out normal work and living conditions.